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In the "Dear Economist" column, I recently described the research of Harold Hotelling.

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"The international economy is far better than we thought, and China's domestic policy stance is less tight than expected; the two reasons why we revised up the forecast," said Bert Hotman, chief China economist at the World Bank's Beijing office.

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Job leakage will continue," says Susan Houseman, a senior economist at the W.E. Upjohn Institute."

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Galbraith, the tall, iconoclastic economist, diplomat and adviser to Democrat leaders from John F.

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If the economy is governed by historical happenstance, not timeless laws, and subject to imponderable contingencies, not calculable risks, then the economist may have precious little to say.

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Yet, for all the brave talk, there is a self-destructive streak in Russia which can turn a drama into a crisis in spectacular fashion—as was vividly demonstrated during its 1998 default. This time Russia has more reserves, but it is making the same mistakes, says Evgeny Gavrilenkov, an economist at Troika Dialog, a Moscow bank.

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"We would avoid the temptation to put China in the same camp as the U.S., U.K., and Euro area," said Ben Simpfendorfer, an economist for Royal Bank of Scotland, in a research note.

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