The results indicate that conditional EVT is superior to other models;conditional distribution model is superior to conditional normal model;conditional EVT for confidence ...

結(jié)果表明在线视频日韩欧美，條件EVT比其它模型的測(cè)度效果好亚洲热无码av一区二区东京热av；條件t分布模型優(yōu)于條件正態(tài)分布模型；置信水平為99%的條件EVT和置信水平為95%的條件t分布模型人人爽人人爽人人A片，分別是測(cè)度上證A中文字幕第一页第二页第三、B股市場(chǎng)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)效果最好的模型。

From the known inverse moment estimator ra,Give confidence level l-a,the followingsystem can be establishedThus we obtain the confidence interval of the accelerated coefficient V-V0 =At last this article testified the validity of this method by an example.

的單調(diào)性国产白色爽，即可得到加速系數(shù)八產(chǎn)、V0二的置信水平為1一a的置信區(qū)間為黄色网络站久久，湯認(rèn)亚洲无码黄色免费小视频。一份幾叭司最后舉例驗(yàn)證方法的有效性。

In theory the coverage error is of order On~(-1,where n is the sample size,however simulation indicates that an EL based confidence region with nominal level 90%may have coverage probability as low as 83%.

理論上覆蓋誤差是On~(-1午夜免费A片，這里n是樣本大小国产1000黄色网站，不過模擬顯示一個(gè)名義置信水平是90%的經(jīng)驗(yàn)似然置信域可能只有低到83%的真實(shí)覆蓋率。

We use the Taylor series expansion method to get the second-order approximate expression of the confidence region of the parameters, and then according to the principle of minimizing the volume of the confidence region, this paper carries out experimental design for the regression model, and then fixes the point range in the domain of definition of design variable for the model function so as to select the designing point, which can minimize the volume of the confidence region.

文章首先計(jì)算指數(shù)族非線性模型的回歸參數(shù)β在1-α置信水平下的置信域的體積18禁黄无遮挡免费网站大全欲色，為了便于計(jì)算强奸毛片一级，需把置信域投影到切空間中去，投影后的置信域是一個(gè)橢球體亚洲欧美福利一区二区精品，用Taylor展開方法對(duì)此橢球體的體積進(jìn)行二階近似国产三级视频在线18播放线观看，推出原參數(shù)置信域的體積的近似表達(dá)式，然后對(duì)回歸模型進(jìn)行試驗(yàn)設(shè)計(jì)国内熟女一区二区三区，根據(jù)置信域體積最小準(zhǔn)則91另类视频在线观看，在模型函數(shù)的設(shè)計(jì)變量的定義域上確定點(diǎn)列，選取使置信域體積達(dá)到最小的設(shè)計(jì)點(diǎn)精品在线观看地址。

In 95% confidence level, HS and GARCH (1,1)-HE are best. In 99% confidence level, PARCH (1,1)-HE is best and HS is also excellent.

在95％的置信水平下很黄的视频网站久久，HS和GARCH(1，1)-HE模型為最好色五月婷婷欧美在线；在99％的置信水平下十三以下岁毛片带血A级，PARCH(1，1)-HE模型最好欧美韩日一区二区特黄，而HS模型同樣優(yōu)秀av小说专区。

The first part is the sum of expected losses of market risk, credit risk and operating risk. The risk of losses in the part should be prevented by reserve for bad debts accrued by commercial banks. The second part is the sum of contingent losses of market risk, credit risk and operating risk at certain confidence level, and the risk of losses in the part should be prevented by capital at risk. The third part is the sum of losses of market risk, credit risk and operating risk that beyond certain confidence level, and the risk of losses in the part should be prevented by deposit insurance system.

第一部分是市場(chǎng)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)、信用風(fēng)險(xiǎn)和操作風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的期望損失之和亚洲天天在线看视频，該部分損失的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)用商業(yè)銀行自身提取的損失準(zhǔn)備金來防范国产在线小视频欧美看大片；第二部分是市場(chǎng)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)欧洲一级黄色视频、信用風(fēng)險(xiǎn)和操作風(fēng)險(xiǎn)在一定置信水平下的意外損失之和，該部分損失的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)用商業(yè)銀行自身的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)資本來防范国产一级a爱看片免费视频；第三部分是市場(chǎng)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)国产精品一本二本在线、信用風(fēng)險(xiǎn)和操作風(fēng)險(xiǎn)超出一定置信水平外的損失之和，該部分損失的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)用存款保險(xiǎn)制度來防范美女黄18以下禁止免费看。

Because commercial banks have expected to prevent the losses at certain confidence level by using their own reserve for bad debts and capital at risk, commercial banks won't go bankrupt within certain confidence level. If the confidence level were a, the probability of bank failure is 1-a, so the recognition of deposit premium ratio should be performed based on 1-a of risk assets in commercial banks.

由于商業(yè)銀行自身用損失準(zhǔn)備金和風(fēng)險(xiǎn)資本來防范了一定置信水平內(nèi)的損失成年黄页免费在线观看，因此，在該置信水平內(nèi)商業(yè)銀行是不會(huì)破產(chǎn)的：如果一定置信水平為α国产性受XXXX白人性爽，則銀行破產(chǎn)的概率就為1—α特一级大黄片性高潮，存款保險(xiǎn)費(fèi)率的確定就以商業(yè)銀行風(fēng)險(xiǎn)資產(chǎn)的1—α倍為基礎(chǔ)進(jìn)行。

The results showed that the evaluation of the current fishery resources was influenced by uncertainties in estimated F0.1, F and F, and by decisions of the managers with different confidence levels. The probability of being overfished reduces with the increase of uncertainties in F0.1, F and F, and decision confidence levels. Uncertainties in growth related parameters are the main contributors to the estimated uncertainties for F0.1 and F for the crimson sea bream fishery. The uncertainty of natural morality has limited influence on the estimated uncertainties of F0.1 and F.

結(jié)果表明：二長棘鯛漁業(yè)資源狀態(tài)評(píng)估受到F0.1偷拍偷窥第一页、F成h人视频网站、F估計(jì)中的不確定性和管理者選取的決策置信水平的影響，二長棘鯛漁業(yè)被確定為過度捕撈的概率隨著F0.1先锋影音最新av资源网址、F欧美日韩色图、F估計(jì)中不確定性和置信水平的增加而下降；F0.1和F估計(jì)中的不確定性主要由生長參數(shù)的不確定性引起在线看黄AV免费看，自然死亡系數(shù)的不確定性對(duì)F0.1和F估計(jì)中的不確定性的影響是有一定限度的在线观看91精品国产婷婷。

Assume β=1, and confidence level is 0.95, the length of normal confidence interval is compared to the length of shortest confidence interval, the results show: both absolute difference d and relative difference e are decreased by the increasing sample number n, when n≤9, e≥10%.

在假設(shè)參數(shù)β=1，置信水平為0.95的條件下免费观看一级免费观看一级黄片视频，比較了常用置信區(qū)間與最短置信區(qū)間的長度最新在线观看精品国产福利片，結(jié)果表明：兩者長度的絕對(duì)差d和相對(duì)差e均隨樣本容量n的增大而減小，當(dāng)n≤9時(shí)激情性爱视频全黄色，e≥10%性爱综合。

Nine high temperature components may be affected by the remagnetization or local rotation, and their paleogeographic implications are not further discussed in this thesis.

從楊莊組15 個(gè)采點(diǎn)獲得的高溫剩磁分量在99%置信水平上通過了褶皺檢驗(yàn)，在95%置信水平上通過了倒轉(zhuǎn)檢驗(yàn)欧美变态视频，對(duì)應(yīng)的視磁極位置為17.3°N亂倫网站， 214.5°E(dp=4.1°， dm=8.0°)淫乱精品自拍。